donderdag 23 oktober 2025

Forest and Future, How Indonesia and Brazil Prepared the Worst [of Climate Change]

 


Forest and Future, [also] How Indonesia and Brazil Prepared the Worst [of Climate Change]

Prada from Prada’s Newsletter <prada@substack.com>23 oktober 2025 om 09:45
Antwoorden op: Prada from Prada’s Newsletter <reply+2xblb7&as17w&&c79aa81e0fca0d2a26453517986e3a1915a838cc4cce678ad3c16a0a7b96d637@mg1.substack.com>
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For the first time ever, mosquitoes have reached Iceland. Mosquitos have been detected on Icelandic soil for the first time on record. Up until this month, Iceland was one of the only places on the planet that didn’t have a mosquito population thanks to its inhospitable climate and lack of stagnant water. Of course, [massive] population mosquito in [for example] vast tropical forest like in Indonesia [Borneo and Sumatran forest] and Brasil / Brazil [Amazon forest]. The country’s unique ecosystem and harsh winters make it inhospitable for mosquitoes, making it one of the few places in the world without them. But again, finally [and sadly] mosquitoes have reached Iceland, because record-breaking warmth and shifting climate patterns, conditions have finally tipped in favor of these resilient insects.

A little shameless reminder that if you like what you see or hear, feel free to support my independent work

The species identified is Culiseta annulata, a hardy mosquito capable of surviving colder climates. The disease-carrying insect was first spotted by insect enthusiast Björn Hjaltason, who posted to a Facebook group about a “strange fly” he spotted last week.

The only other mosquito-free haven is now Antarctica. In May this year, Iceland recorded its hottest ever day, with temperatures climbing to a staggering 26.6°C, while regions of the country saw temperatures more than 10°C above average during spring. It is feared this rapid warming may allow the infamous insect to survive in the country and establish itself across the nation’s marshes and ponds.

This milestone is more than just a quirky fact — it’s a powerful reminder of how climate change is reshaping ecosystems worldwide. If mosquitoes can now survive in Iceland, what other species might expand into new territories next?

The vast tropical forest nations of Indonesia and Brazil are both home to millions of people, including indigenous communities. They store enormous amounts of carbon to protect our climate and are home to staggering numbers of species found nowhere else in the world. How are their forests still standing while other forests have fallen? Answering this question is critical in the current global moment. 

As people gear up for the 30th United Nations climate summit (COP30) in Belém, Brazil, in November, this “Amazon Cop” could help galvanize action to save the world’s forests with a clearer blueprint for success. 

Also, 2 Leaders of Rainforest, Indonesia’s Prabowo and Brazil’s Lula meet in Jakarta right now, after Prabowo attend BRICS Summit last July in Rio.

[Lula and Prabowo in Jakarta, footage 4 hours ago]

While progress at global climate and biodiversity summits often seems limited, our study highlights how sustained pressure from civil society and international commitments can lead to improved political will for forest protection. In the agricultural powerhouse of Brazil, 60 percent of the land area (511 million hectares, more than 20 times the size of the United Kingdom) is still covered in natural forests. In the diverse archipelago of Indonesia, known for its globally important production of palm oil, among other tropical crops, 50 percent of the land (nearly 94 million ha) remains. 

Last year, global records for deforestation were shattered, with 6.7 million ha of pristine tropical forests being cleared, an area almost the size of Ireland. Even by recent standards this was a huge amount of loss, driven by raging fires in the hottest year on record. 

Yet over 1 billion ha of tropical forests remain. Two of the forest giants, Brazil and Indonesia, have both bucked the trend of increasing forest loss at different times in recent years. Brazil reduced deforestation in the Amazon rainforest by 84 percent between 2004 and 2012. However, deforestation picked up again in the late 2010s and under president Jair Bolsonaro’s administration. 

In Indonesia, a similarly impressive 78 percent reduction in deforestation was achieved between 2016, when devastating forest fires created a haze across south-east Asia, and 2021. Fortunately these reductions have been sustained, at least for now. To understand the reasons for Brazil and Indonesia’s success, we brought together the world’s leading experts in forest conservation in these two regions. 

Most of them came from these two countries. By asking our experts to participate in multiple rounds of surveys and providing feedback on responses from one round to the next, we could identify the full range of factors that are important for protecting forests. This approach, known as a Delphi process, enabled us to avoid groupthink or excessive influence by strong-willed or well-respected characters. Our results were clear: across both countries, our experts judged that political will and law enforcement were by far the most important factors for protecting forests. 

The study revealed how international diplomacy and advocacy by civil society have been pivotal in creating the awareness and demand for political leadership to emerge. Moving to the 2010s, indigenous rights were seen as an important complement to political will and law enforcement. These results point to the need to accelerate pressure on policymakers to protect forests and continue to spread public awareness. This is a difficult task with a human toll: worldwide, more than 2,100 environmental defenders were killed between 2012 and 2023. 

Political will to conserve forests also waned in the late 2010s in Brazil, and is in question under the current Indonesian administration. Yet the need for instant results and a temptation to pursue the latest big idea should not overshadow the long-lasting and hard-won consequences of sustained pressure for good forest stewardship. As policymakers, activists and scientists from around the world converge on the Amazon for the next UN climate summit, the message from our research is clear: above the fray of tense negotiations and discussions over policy minutiae, political leadership and persistent advocacy can and do protect forests. We have done it before, and we can do it again.

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If you feel powerless to help Gaza, you still has a choice: donate. When so much of what exists is false, authenticity is a powerful weapon we can wield that the state never could. So if you feel lost, hopeless, depressed, angry and afraid, I implore you to return - again - again - and again - to the feeling of love that exists within you that brought you here in the first place. It is only through this that we can remake the world. To redress Gaza’s famine, displacement, and destruction, independent and impartial humanitarian organizations - UN agencies, international and national NGOs - must be allowed to deliver relief at scale. To salvage Gaza’s people from the devastation inflicted by Israel, it must be unified with the West Bank to form an independent and sovereign Palestinian State, not to be parceled and colonized by the former.

Meanwhile, children continue to be shredded by US bombs, and the starvation reaches new depths of hellish collective punishment. If both parties are going to continue to support an ongoing genocide, at least they can both be honest about doing so, rather than having one openly bloodthirsty party, and another—unconvincingly—playing the role of powerless, bumbling humanitarian.

Please keep donate Gaza especially if you, as reader, has [background] International Relation [whatever universities]. IR Graduate means [you must, at least] get some semester [about] studying Middle East [in macro, not specifically Gaza].

We need more people to share fundraisers instead of only talking about Gaza. Some people think that those in Gaza don’t need money but that’s wrong. Almost everyone lost their source of income while essentials, food & medicine get sold for astronomical prices. So I put my attempt in all social media as I can, in twitter / X, in substack [since October 2023 I put link donation], in bluesky or bsky, in threads, in instagram.

Link to donate World Food Programme - Palestine appeal: click here

[Daniel Brühl]

link to donate

Most campaign shared or circulated in social media are for REAL people in Gaza. They’re legit. There are a lot of small campaigns for struggling families. This is their only lifeline. By donating & sharing, you are literally making history and alleviating part of their pain

Please do not rely on me alone for sharing your campaign. I’m only 1 person and sometimes I’m not online which is unreliable. I never ignore anybody on purpose but I have a very limited capacity & very little energy and time.

[Refaat Rafiq Alareer IF I MUST DIE] Refaat Rafiq Alareer was extremely hungry, November 2023, days before Refaat killed by Israel airstrike. If November 2023 already [one-by-one Gazan] extremely famine, extremely hungry, imagine October 2025 or 2 years Israel’s Genocide in Gaza.

Read full story

link donation click here

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