OUT OF THE FRYING PAN: 2020 Trends and Predictions from 21WIRE
2020 BY 21WIRE

Looking forward into the New Year, here are but a few breaking trends to look out for, as well as some salient predictions for the coming year.
In last year’s Trends and Predictions for 2019, we identified some prominent watershed moments in politics, international relations and technology, but as is continually the case these days – the pace of change keeps speeding up, offering even more twists and turns than seen in previous years. Looking back, 2019 was truly a Shake & Bake year, where everything was up for grabs and where we successfully predicted both Robert Mueller’s failure and the Democrat’s Impeachment of Donald Trump, along with a few other near-miss predictions.
For this coming year, we’ll see some entirely new realities come into focus, as 2020 takes us out of the frying pan.
So here it is – the good, the bad, and the ugly for 2020…

Impeachment Dies on the Vine – Before Christmas, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi basically kicked the can into the New Year – afraid to send the Democrat’s Articles of Impeachment to the US Senate, as is standard procedure. One has to assume this is because she knew that the Democrat’s case was so incredibly weak that it would die as soon as it hit the Senate review panel. As it turns out, this has been one the worst own-goals in US political history, but those who have actually been following these developments with a sober eye are not at all surprised by what they are seeing. Of course, this will only help Trump in his re-election campaign.

2020 Election Circus, Trump Redux – All indications are that Trump will be the presumptive favorite to win re-election in 2020. The reasons are as follows: the Democratic field was bloated from the start, with some 25 candidates vying for a spot on the podium. This has left many swing voters confused and uninspired for the most part, although there are significant pockets of excitement for runners like Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, and somehow, for Joe Biden.
But the question is: will any of these Democrat candidates do better than Hillary did in 2016? Right now the answer appears to be no, while Trump’s support base seems to be steadily growing. Add to this the recent bounce in the polls received by Trump as a result of the Democrat’s disastrous Impeachment effort, and Trump seems to be the frontrunner ahead of the Democratic Primaries in 2020. Regardless, this will still be a close election and the Democrats are still likely to carry the popular vote nationally, while Trump will take the electoral college again by solidifying some additional gains in heartland and rust belt states, as well as in key swing states like Virginia. If indeed Trump wins re-election, expect accusations of “Russian interference” and also expect angry Antifa mobs to set some American cities on fire, literally. Half of America still hasn’t learned its lessons from 2016.
Democratic Civil War – One of the tragic consequences of four years of scapegoating Russia for Hillary’s 2016 electoral train wreck, is that there has been virtually no work on policy and creating a unified platform for the Democratic Party. Add to this the bloated and discombobulated Democratic field, and the reality of more progressive young bloods coming in, like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, fighting for key ranking positions and challenging political dinosaurs like Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer – and you have a real power struggle for the “soul of the party”. Every week, we see young leftists accusing old centerist Democrats of being in the pocket of Wall Street, and not
being ‘pure’ enough or progressive enough for impatient millennials who want change now. Of course, they may be right, but that still won’t bring the party any closer to victory in 2020. This is not unlike the Tea Party split experienced by Republicans after their disastrous 2008 election. As a result, wide fractures are already occurring in the American political left, and within the party itself. Under the surface, you already have bad blood between the Bernie Sanders base and the Democratic National Committee (DNC) for intentionally railroading Bernie’s Presidential run in 2016 in favor the eventual loser Clinton. All of this tension will culminate at the Democratic Convention in July, where it is likely that there will be no clear majority winner going in – which means a second vote may go to the convention floor, which will likely trigger the dreaded Super Delegates – the very same party apparatchiks and establishment loyalists who screwed Sanders in 2016. And here they are again, doing the exact same thing in 2020. This may result in the DNC offering up a nominee which did not earn a mandate during the primary process – which is sure to ignite a bona fide civil war within the party. Underneath all this though, is the fact that there’s very little left on the Left, due to the fact that, like Britain’s Labour Party under Blair, Democrats have been pulled so far to the political right thanks to arch neoliberalists Bill Clinton and Barack Obama. From a policy point of view, centrist Democrats are almost indistinguishable from mainline Republicans. No wonder more voters are feeling uninspired. This in-fighting and apathy may result in lower voter turnouts for Democrats, as they face having their own Mitt Romney moment in 2020.


Mass De-platforming and Censorship – 2019 was a banner year for the nameless, faceless, Silicon Valley censorship committees, a self-appointed Star Chamber, busy programming their algorithms to exclude any speech online which these corporations believe falls outside of their narrow acceptable band of public discourse. All of this was initially launched in late 2016 under the guise of “fighting fake news”, which then morphed into “countering disinformation”, which now
encompasses ever vague missions like “countering Russian influence” and cleansing the virtual world of “extremist content”. In reality, all of this has been undertaken for partisan reasons; Silicon Valley firms are overwhelmingly Democrat and liberal in their political orientation. This orgy of corporate censorship is also being underwritten by new government censorship directives, led by the UK and EU, all predicated on the excuse of fighting ‘hate speech,’ and guarding vulnerable and helpless users from ‘disinformation’ not emanating from “reputable and trusted sources,” namely mainstream media and government itself, because why would they ever lie or spin anything, right? Expect these Kafkaesque cultural committees to step-up their efforts in 2020, in the hopes that they can affect the outcome of the US Presidential election somehow, in favor of the Democratic candidate. But beyond this, these same platforms have been aggressive erasing accounts and content which opposes war and the national security state. Despite repeated denials by executives, their dark agenda is becoming more obvious by the day.

Global Uprisings on the Rise – 2019 saw a record number of simultaneous mass protests happening all over the globe, and still going. France’s Yellow Vests aka Gilet Jaunes, led the way, followed by mass movements across South America, Middle East and Asia. All over the world, crowds are forming in their millions, with protesters occupying squares, blocking highways, and taking over parliament buildings, while demanding an end to neoliberal austerity policies, scarce jobs and spiraling inflation. Expect these uprisings to grow and multiply, as people begin to challenge the 20th century orthodoxy of the hereditary oligarchy, and US dollar-led debt-based financial market rigging. This will pose serious challenges to US client states worldwide, already struggling to hold together their economies and political mandates while over-spending on US military products – while the ranks of their poor and unemployed grow by the day. Ultimately, what’s at stake is any respect for government and authority. It’s that fundamental.

The Vindication of Julian Assange – More than any other story in 2019, the apprehension and unlawful incarceration of award-winning journalist and WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange, left a black mark on the supposed ‘leaders of free world,’ namely the United States and Britain. But 2020 will most certainly be the year when Assange is vindicated – at least in the court of public opinion. In the waning months of 2019, the tide of public opinion continued to shift in Julian’s favor. With each passing week, more high-profile individuals, mainstream journalists and civil liberties advocates are coming out to defend Assange and demand his release. The only group which has been reticent to speak for him has been politicians, with the exception of a few, like Hawaii Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard, a 2020 Democratic Presidential hopeful. But the real concern is whether he will survive the brutal treatment being dished out by the British state, now in breach of its own laws and precedents, all in order to hand over to what many agree is an authoritarian US government bent on revenge for the international embarrassment caused by WikiLeaks important exposures. Until then, his life will continue to hang in the balance. #FreeAssange


Liberation of Idlib and Reclamation in Syria – After nine long years and many hundreds of thousands dead, and millions of refugees and internally displaced persons, the Syrian War appears to be heading for a final climax in 2020. The last remaining western and Gulf-backed terrorist stronghold is Syria’s northern province of Idlib. Late 2019 saw the Syrian Army make great strides with their Russian allies, retaking key town and districts from western and Turkish-backed al-
Qaeda militants, as well as in-fighting between terrorist factions. All of this means we will likely see the end of al-Qaeda’s de facto Second Islamic State in Idlib, and with that, the death of the West’s popular myth the “democratic revolution” (which never was) in Syria. When this happens, all eyes will then shift over the northern east section of the country where the US is illegally occupying Syria’s oil fields and smuggling the oil out of the country to fund its clandestine operations. Right before the New Year, Syrian Army officers were seen on video confronting US soldiers at a desert crossing, telling them “you are occupiers” and you will “leave our country.” Harbinger of things to come.

Libya’s protracted Civil War – Libya is back in the center stage geopolitically, as multiple world powers throw their hat into the ring to try to gain control of the failed state created by NATO’s errand operation in 2011 to depose then President Gaddafi. Before the New Year, Turkey’s President Erdogan began ferrying jihadi Free Syrian Army brigades across the Mediterranean to help the UN-backed Government of Accord in Tripoli in the country’s new civil war. On the other side are the US, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Egypt and even Russia, all backing long-time US asset Khalifa Haftar, whose fighters are trying to capture Libya’s capital city of Tripoli – a real mess in the making. If Syria is anything to go by, the presence of so many foreign stakeholders, along with jihadi fighters being shipped in as cannon fodder – means there’s a high likelihood that the instability the country is now facing will drag on for many years to come. This round is only beginning, which means lots of foreign press junkets for war-friendly media outlets like CNN, but bad news for the people of Libya.
Global Arms Race – With the US opting out of the INF treaty with Russia, while still hyping the phantom Russian threat in order to advance NATO further eastward, and with US threatening China in every possible way, while actively egging-on Saudi Arabia to keep the defense contractor cash cow going in Yemen – the scene is set for a fresh bounce in the global arms race, led by the US, and with Russia and China trailing behind (in terms of spending maybe, but not necessarily in terms of quality and effectiveness). Add this To Trump’s recent announcement in 2019 of his new ‘Space Force’, and you have all the ingredients for record-level blank cheque spending on weapons and war tech. It’s the 1980’s on steroids. Advances in artificial intelligence will also add to this price tag, as the West begins “future-proofing” all of its main product lines in defense and global surveillance. If it sounds scary, it’s because it is.


EU Economic Crisis – One thing many experts can agree on is that Brussels has been running an economic Ponzi scheme for years now. Ten years after the 2008 global financial meltdown, it seems that the bankers are still up to their old tricks, increasing the odds that the next ‘black swan’ economic crisis event will happen in the Euro zone. As Politico remarked, “The price to pay for those bailouts, reform packages, rescue funds, and European Central Bank bond-buying schemes has been political fragmentation, at first. But by now, this is morphing into outright polarization. And this is happening in both “core” and “periphery countries” as we saw in elections in France, Germany, Austria and Italy.” Political fragmentation will not help economic disparity between the rich North and poor South of Europe. Add to this the reality of Brexit and the EU losing a significant chuck of its GDP from the UK, and you have a trend line forming which only needs a trigger to set off a financial inferno. Of course, if the EU economy does hit the wall, then it might give Boris Johnson and the Tories a slight reprieve, making them look like genius savants, as they take advantage of cheap wares on the continent, and sell to America via a new Trump trade deal. The trigger could be Italy, or it could be reckless ECB bond purchasing schemes designed to hide the systemic damage caused by 10 years of steady quantitative easing which has left European personal savings next to nil. If the global economy is going to scream again, it’s going to start in Europe in 2020.


Nationalism vs The Global Citizen – Undoubtedly, 2018 and 2019 saw the strong re-emergence of nationalism in parts of the world – nationalism being the geopolitical and ideological antithesis of globalism and multilateralism which has dominated the latter part of the post-WWII, US-led liberal world order. Certainly Brexit featured heavily in this trend. So despite the promises of globalism and projects like the European Union, the elemental pull of the post-Westphalian nation state appears to have survived, still in tact. However, this comes at a time when tens of millions of millennials, and GenX and GenZ neophytes are feeling ever-more connected due to social media, real-time translation apps, and shared digital cultural experiences (mostly dominated by Anglo-American content) through platforms like Netflix, whereby many young people consider themselves and identify as “global citizens” first, and by their nationality second. Along with their global citizenry, also comes advocacy for no borders, and deference to global government concepts. While this view may be driven by a new idealism which may be naive and leaning heavily on utopian visions, it is nonetheless very real in the minds of those who identify as global citizens. This demographic is increasingly influential and will be one of the key economic forces in the new digitally-driven Fourth Industrial Revolution. Ultimately, this clashes with the rise of nationalism – itself a result of globalist policies of the last half century. In 2020 will these two world views begin to collide with ever-more veracity, creating a new political schism? Expect increased polarization along this new 21st century sectarian divide.

Eco-Terrorism – As the narrative surrounding climate change becomes even more radicalized and activists adopt the theory that humanity is somehow in the process of a “sixth mass extinction” – all because of man-made carbon emissions, it stands to reason that faithful adherents of this “end times” narrative (not unlike the end times eschatological narratives of
the major religions) will adopt more radical methods to pressure the halls of power and force political concessions – to ‘save the climate’. As with animal rights extremism methods, Eco-terrorism has historical form, and with more radical narratives like those promoted by organizations like Extinction Rebellion – this has led many of its young followers to believe “we have no future.” What would previously be regarded as acts of civil disobedience may no longer suffice in the current nihilistic atmosphere. If there was ever a ripe momentfor the specter of Eco-Terrorism to rear its ugly head, then it may be in 2020.

The Fall of Climatism – As the narratives become more militant and the hype surrounding Swedish teenager and ‘climate strike’ leader Greta Thunberg loses steam, a growing global community of climate skeptics will likely receive more airtime, many more beginning to question the perceived certainly of man-made global warming theory aka ‘climate change’. In recent years, many climate demonstrations, have taken on an increasingly weird cult-like atmosphere (image, left), which may resonate
with some urbanistas and hipsters, but could also be damaging its broad-based appeal. The reality is no matter how extreme the predictions of doom, or the excoriations by Greta, the global economy will never de-carbonize by 2025, or 2030, or even 2050, for the simple reasons that renewables can never provide the base load required to power the world’s growing cities and overall energy needs. The math just doesn’t add up. There is also a significant backlash now to the proposed Green New Dealwhich will require trillions in taxpayer funds and money robbed from pension funds in order to finance as yet undiscovered “green tech” solutions, which many believe is really just a new ‘green dotcom bubble.’ Combine this with indications that the earth is now heading into a solar minimum phase which will see more record cold weather across the northern hemisphere – and you have all the ingredients for serious challenges to Climatism as the dominant eco-ideology of this epoch. This transition will not happen over night, but it’s inevitable, as the backlash against a strictly imposed environment narrative, where dissent or questions are strictly forbidden – is simply unsustainable politically and as some experts now believe – it is also fundamentally undemocratic. This will no doubt be the source of more heated battles (no pun intended) across society in 2020.


There it is. 2020, out of the frying pan. But will it be into the fire?
HOW ACCURATE WERE WE? TAKE A LOOKING BACK AT PREVIOUS YEARS…
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